10k Words - January 2021
Apparently, Confucius didn’t say “One Picture is Worth Ten Thousand Words” after all. It was an advertisement in a 1920s trade journal for the use of images in advertisements on the sides of streetcars. Even without the credibility of Confucius behind it, we think this saying has merit. Each month we share a few charts or images we consider noteworthy.Citi strategist Matt King summarises the legacy of 2020 across divisions in politics and the economy then Bloomberg shows US treasury yields hitting 1% for the first time since March. Bespoke debunks the view that it is bad for US equities for Democrats to have full control of federal politics. Market frothiness is on display in Factset's chart of SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company or “blank check”) IPOs. UK fund Fasanara Capital shows that monthly variations in markets have been expanding, while US quantitative fund AQR argues with one chart that the prospects for a standard balanced portfolio are low and the opportunity to buy "value" is clear. Forward PEs - even looking two years out - are high relative to historical levels around the world according to Evans & Partners. In Australia, Equitable Investors has mapped out the distribution of CY2020 returns for its "FIT" universe of micro-to-mid caps. Finally, ANZ has mapped out for us the changing shares in global GDP over time.